A probabilistic analysis of causation

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2010
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The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2010, 62(2), pp. 343-392. ISSN 0007-0882. Available under: doi: 10.1093/bjps/axq015
Zusammenfassung

The starting point in the development of probabilistic analyses of token causation has usually been the naïve intuition that, in some relevant sense, a cause raises the probability of its effect. But there are well-known examples both of non-probability-raising causation and of probability-raising non-causation. Sophisticated extant probabilistic analyses treat many such cases correctly, but only at the cost of excluding the possibilities of direct non-probability-raising causation, failures of causal transitivity, action-at-a-distance, prevention, and causation by absence and omission. I show that an examination of the structure of these problem cases suggests a different treatment, one which avoids the costs of extant probabilistic analyses.

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100 Philosophie
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ISO 690GLYNN, Luke, 2010. A probabilistic analysis of causation. In: The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 2010, 62(2), pp. 343-392. ISSN 0007-0882. Available under: doi: 10.1093/bjps/axq015
BibTex
@article{Glynn2010proba-14231,
  year={2010},
  doi={10.1093/bjps/axq015},
  title={A probabilistic analysis of causation},
  number={2},
  volume={62},
  issn={0007-0882},
  journal={The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science},
  pages={343--392},
  author={Glynn, Luke}
}
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