Disappointed Expectations : Downward Mobility and Electoral Change

Kurer, Thomas; van Staalduinen, Briitta

Disappointed Expectations : Downward Mobility and Electoral Change

Dateien

Kurer_2-bub7w7pyb1kx2.pdfGröße: 1.2 MBDownloads: 33

Datum

2022

Autor:innen

Kurer, Thomas

van Staalduinen, Briitta

Open Access-Veröffentlichung

Open Access Hybrid

Sammlungen

Exzellenzcluster "Die politische Dimension von Ungleichheit"

Publikationstyp

Zeitschriftenartikel

Publikationsstatus

Published

Erschienen in

American Political Science Review. Cambridge University Press. 2022, 116(4), pp. 1340-1356. ISSN 0003-0554. eISSN 1537-5943. Available under: doi: 10.1017/S0003055422000077

Zusammenfassung

Postindustrial occupational change has ended an era of unprecedented upward mobility. We examine the political implications of this immense structural shift by introducing the concept of status discordance, which we operationalize as the difference between status expectations formed during childhood and outcomes realized in adulthood. We leverage German household panel data and predictive modeling to provide empirical estimates of status expectations based on childhood circumstances and parental background. The analysis reveals that political dissatisfaction is widespread among voters who fall short of intergenerational status expectations. We show that such dissatisfaction is associated with higher abstention rates, less mainstream party support, and more radical voting. Moreover, we explore variation in status discordance by gender, education, and occupation, which influence the choice between radical left and right parties. Our findings highlight how expectations about opportunities underlie generational voting patterns and shed light on the ongoing breakdown of the postwar political consensus.

Fachgebiet (DDC)

320 Politik

Zitieren

ISO 690

KURER, Thomas, Briitta VAN STAALDUINEN, 2022. Disappointed Expectations : Downward Mobility and Electoral Change. In: American Political Science Review. Cambridge University Press. 2022, 116(4), pp. 1340-1356. ISSN 0003-0554. eISSN 1537-5943. Available under: doi: 10.1017/S0003055422000077

BibTex

@article{Kurer2022Disap-56716,
  year={2022},
  doi={10.1017/S0003055422000077},
  title={Disappointed Expectations : Downward Mobility and Electoral Change},
  number={4},
  volume={116},
  issn={0003-0554},
  journal={American Political Science Review},
  pages={1340--1356},
  author={Kurer, Thomas and van Staalduinen, Briitta}
}

RDF

<rdf:RDF
    xmlns:dcterms="http://purl.org/dc/terms/"
    xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
    xmlns:rdf="http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#"
    xmlns:bibo="http://purl.org/ontology/bibo/"
    xmlns:dspace="http://digital-repositories.org/ontologies/dspace/0.1.0#"
    xmlns:foaf="http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/"
    xmlns:void="http://rdfs.org/ns/void#"
    xmlns:xsd="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#" > 
  <rdf:Description rdf:about="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/server/rdf/resource/123456789/56716">
    <dspace:isPartOfCollection rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/server/rdf/resource/123456789/43613"/>
    <dcterms:issued>2022</dcterms:issued>
    <dc:contributor>Kurer, Thomas</dc:contributor>
    <dcterms:isPartOf rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/server/rdf/resource/123456789/42"/>
    <dspace:hasBitstream rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/bitstream/123456789/56716/1/Kurer_2-bub7w7pyb1kx2.pdf"/>
    <dc:contributor>van Staalduinen, Briitta</dc:contributor>
    <dspace:isPartOfCollection rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/server/rdf/resource/123456789/42"/>
    <foaf:homepage rdf:resource="http://localhost:8080/"/>
    <void:sparqlEndpoint rdf:resource="http://localhost/fuseki/dspace/sparql"/>
    <dc:language>eng</dc:language>
    <bibo:uri rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/handle/123456789/56716"/>
    <dc:creator>Kurer, Thomas</dc:creator>
    <dcterms:abstract xml:lang="eng">Postindustrial occupational change has ended an era of unprecedented upward mobility. We examine the political implications of this immense structural shift by introducing the concept of status discordance, which we operationalize as the difference between status expectations formed during childhood and outcomes realized in adulthood. We leverage German household panel data and predictive modeling to provide empirical estimates of status expectations based on childhood circumstances and parental background. The analysis reveals that political dissatisfaction is widespread among voters who fall short of intergenerational status expectations. We show that such dissatisfaction is associated with higher abstention rates, less mainstream party support, and more radical voting. Moreover, we explore variation in status discordance by gender, education, and occupation, which influence the choice between radical left and right parties. Our findings highlight how expectations about opportunities underlie generational voting patterns and shed light on the ongoing breakdown of the postwar political consensus.</dcterms:abstract>
    <dcterms:title>Disappointed Expectations : Downward Mobility and Electoral Change</dcterms:title>
    <dcterms:hasPart rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/bitstream/123456789/56716/1/Kurer_2-bub7w7pyb1kx2.pdf"/>
    <dcterms:rights rdf:resource="https://rightsstatements.org/page/InC/1.0/"/>
    <dc:rights>terms-of-use</dc:rights>
    <dcterms:isPartOf rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/server/rdf/resource/123456789/43613"/>
    <dcterms:available rdf:datatype="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#dateTime">2022-03-01T13:47:12Z</dcterms:available>
    <dc:date rdf:datatype="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#dateTime">2022-03-01T13:47:12Z</dc:date>
    <dc:creator>van Staalduinen, Briitta</dc:creator>
  </rdf:Description>
</rdf:RDF>

Universitätsbibliographie

Ja

Begutachtet

Ja