Universität zu Köln

Haferlach, Lisa, Teldn, Funda and Wodka, Jakub (2018). Friends. Foes. Frenemies? Unpacking the future of EU-Turkey relations. Futures, 97. S. 53 - 63. OXFORD: ELSEVIER SCI LTD. ISSN 1873-6378

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Abstract

This paper looks into the future of EU-Turkey relations, which, in the last half of the century have been marked by ups and downs. Recently, the relationship came to a standstill, with both parties to be blamed for a vanishing enthusiasm in moving the relationship forward. Yet, what today seems to be a closed chapter, might well, in the next 15 years, develop into a working relationship, with both Turkey and the EU benefiting from a functional cooperation. Applying the foresight methodology, which helps avoid prejudging the future of the EU-Turkey relations, we came up with three scenarios thereof, namely down in the dumps, frenernies in flexible and functional cooperation and into the European fold. The scenarios are informed by three drivers, that are the intra-EU dynamics, internal developments in Turkey, and the situation in the joint neighbourhood, which we see as key determinants of the possible EU-Turkey futures.

Item Type:	Journal Article
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID ORCID Put Code Haferlach, Lisa UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Teldn, Funda UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Wodka, Jakub UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED
URN:	urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-194213
DOI:	10.1016/j.futures.2017.04.006
Journal or Publication Title:	Futures
Volume:	97
Page Range:	S. 53 - 63
Date:	2018
Publisher:	ELSEVIER SCI LTD
Place of Publication:	OXFORD
ISSN:	1873-6378
Language:	English
Faculty:	Unspecified
Divisions:	Unspecified
Subjects:	no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Keywords Language EUROPEAN-UNION; DEMOCRACY; AUTHORITARIANISM; REGIME; DRIFT; AKP Multiple languages Economics; Regional & Urban Planning Multiple languages
Refereed:	Yes
URI:	http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/19421