Universität zu Köln

te Grotenhuis, Manfred, Pelzer, Ben, Luo, Liying and Schmidt-Catran, Alexander W. (2016). The Intrinsic Estimator, Alternative Estimates, and Predictions of Mortality Trends: A Comment on Masters, Hummer, Powers, Beck, Lin, and Finch. Demography, 53 (4). S. 1245 - 1253. NEW YORK: SPRINGER. ISSN 1533-7790

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Abstract

In this article, we discuss a study by Masters et al. (2014), published in Demography. Masters and associates estimated age, period, and cohort (APC) effects on U.S. mortality rates between 1959 and 2009 using the intrinsic estimator (IE). We first argue that before applying the IE, a grounded theoretical justification is needed for its fundamental constraint on minimum variance of the estimates. We next demonstrate IE's high sensitivity to the type of dummy parameterization used to obtain the estimates. Finally, we discuss challenges in the interpretation of APC models. Our comments are not restricted to the article in question but pertain generally to any research that uses the IE.

Item Type:	Journal Article
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID ORCID Put Code te Grotenhuis, Manfred UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Pelzer, Ben UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Luo, Liying UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Schmidt-Catran, Alexander W. UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED
URN:	urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-267694
DOI:	10.1007/s13524-016-0476-8
Journal or Publication Title:	Demography
Volume:	53
Number:	4
Page Range:	S. 1245 - 1253
Date:	2016
Publisher:	SPRINGER
Place of Publication:	NEW YORK
ISSN:	1533-7790
Language:	English
Faculty:	Unspecified
Divisions:	Unspecified
Subjects:	no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Keywords Language PERIOD-COHORT-ANALYSIS; ASSESSING VALIDITY; APPLICATION SCOPE; MODELS; LAND; YANG; FIENBERG Multiple languages Demography Multiple languages
Refereed:	Yes
URI:	http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/26769